October 16, 2013
Big Story Weather – October 16, 2013
Daily weather forecast and wrap-up provided by redOrbit meteorologist Joshua Kelly.
Big Story Weather from October 15:
Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours led to flooding over large portions of the Dakotas and portions of Western Texas. Snowfall continued over the Black Hills at around 1-3 inches. Colder air started to plunge into the Dakotas as well behind the cold front. No severe weather was reported yesterday.
Big Story Weather Discussion for October 16:
Surface Map: Low pressure over Southeast Canada along with the warm front over the Northeast will bring showers to the region. The cold front will extend from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast. Along this front there will be showers and thunderstorms. High pressure over the Plains and the Rockies will bring partly cloudy skies and cool weather to the region.
Severe Weather: There will be a slight area of severe weather over the Gulf Coast today – mostly strong winds and heavy rainfall.
Winter Weather: There will be frost/freeze warnings in place over the Southern Plains into portions of Western Texas.
Flooding: Northeast Texas to Arkansas and Northern Louisiana will see moderate flooding due to heavy rainfall. We are also watching pockets of flooding over Eastern North Dakota and Western South Dakota.
Tropical Weather: No forecasted impacts today.
Winds: No major winds outside of thunderstorms.
Select City Forecast:
New York NY: Partly cloudy with a high near 65F and overnight lows near 58F.
Atlanta GA: Partly cloudy with evening showers. High temps around 74F and overnight lows near 64F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.
Fargo ND: Partly cloudy with a high near 49F and overnight lows near 40F.
Boise ID: Partly cloudy with a high near 50F and overnight lows near 47F.
San Diego CA: Partly cloudy with a high near 67F and overnight lows near 59F.
October 16, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:
Eastern Pacific Ocean: Low pressure moving towards Alaska will bring showers and snow showers to the region.
Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving into Southeast Canada and the associated frontal boundaries will bring impacts to a good portion of the Eastern US. Low pressure moving towards England will bring showers over the region.
Western Pacific: Low pressure over to the northeast of Japan will bring showers to the Northern part of Japan. Tropical Depression 26W has developed with winds around 30kts and pressure near 1000mb.
Indian Ocean: The basin will remain fairly tranquil today.
Southern Hemisphere: Low pressure will bring impacts to the Fiji Islands with afternoon showers. Low pressure moving south of Argentina will bring showers to the region. Low pressure to the south of Southern Africa will bring a few showers and gusty winds to the region. Low pressure over Southern Australia will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region.
Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for October 16-20:
New York NY: The region will have slight impacts from showers around the 19th. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Atlanta GA: The area will have impacts the next two days and then again on the 19th. The remainder of the period will be impact free.
Fargo ND: The period will be impact free until the end of the period when showers and snow showers will begin to mix into the region creating moderate impacts.
Boise ID: The next five days will be impact free.
San Diego CA: The next five days will be impact free for the region.
Climate Watch Almanac for October 11-15:
New York NY: The period started with temps around 2-5 degrees above normal then fell to around 1-2 degrees below before finishing the period around 4 degrees above.
Atlanta GA: The period has been mostly dominated by temps around 4-9 degrees above. The period finished around 5 degrees below.
Fargo ND: The period started with temps around 2-10 degrees above normal followed by a period of temps around 1-8 degrees below normal.
Boise ID: The past five days temps have been around 3-10 degrees below normal for the region.
San Diego CA: The period started with temps around 2-5 degrees below normal. The period finished with temps around 1-3 degrees above.
Major Weather Impacts Discussion for October 16, 2013:
Day 1-3: Low pressure over Southeast Canada will bring showers to portions of the Northeast. The cold front will extend to the Gulf Coast. Along this boundary will be showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will build in over the Plains region bringing partly cloudy skies and cooler weather to the region. High pressure will keep the West Coast mild and dry. Day two showers will remain over the Northeast, while a few showers and thunderstorms will be along the Gulf Coast. The rest of the country will see partly cloudy skies with high pressure in control. The period will end with another weak frontal boundary moving through the Plains bringing showers to the southern Plains and light snow to the northern Plains.
Day 4-7: The period will start with a weak frontal boundary over the Northeast. High pressure will dominate the weather over most of the Southeast and Gulf Coast. High pressure will also dominate the weather over the entire Western US. Day six a weak frontal boundary will setup along the Gulf Coast bringing a few showers to the region. High pressure will dominate the rest of the country. The period will end with a strong storm system moving through the Plains and the Great Lakes bringing rain and also snow showers to the region.
Day 8-12: The period will start with lake effect snow showers over most of the lakes, while strong high pressure slides into the Southern Plains bringing some of the coldest air of the season to the region. A frontal boundary will setup along the Gulf Coast with showers. Day ten there will be light snow showers over the Great Lakes and high pressure extending over the Southeast. Another strong storm system will develop over the Southern Plains with showers and thunderstorms and a second frontal boundary will develop over the Northern Rockies with showers and moderate snowfall likely. The middle of the period will have the blocking high over the East Coast, while the strong storm system moves into the Plains bringing rain and heavy snowfall to places across the Northern Plains. Severe weather will also be possible over the Southern Plains. The period will end with a major storm system on our hands. There will be heavy snowfall over the Northern Plains and severe weather will extend from the Ohio River Valley to the Gulf Coast.
Long Range Outlook: The period will start with the powerful storm system extending from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast. High pressure will extend over the Northern Plains bringing another shot of cold air to the region. Another storm system will be moving into the Northwest. The period will finish with the major storm system pushing over the East Coast and extending back into the Gulf Coast.
Today’s Spotlight Cities Forecast:
Orlando FL: Partly cloudy skies with a high near 86F and overnight lows near 68F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 88F and overnight lows near 70F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 90F and overnight lows near 70F. Saturday mostly cloudy with showers with a high near 89F and overnight lows near 70F. Total rainfall near 0.15 inches. Sunday partly cloudy with afternoon showers. High temps around 83F and overnight lows near 70F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.
Dallas TX: Partly cloudy with a high near 59F and overnight lows near 48F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 50F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 60F and overnight lows near 47F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 50F. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 74F and overnight lows near 57F.
Seattle WA: Partly cloudy with a high near 64F and overnight lows near 40F. Thursday partly cloudy with a high near 66F and overnight lows near 42F. Friday partly cloudy with a high near 68F and overnight lows near 40F. Saturday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 40F. Sunday partly cloudy with a high near 70F and overnight lows near 44F.
Ask The Weatherman for October 16, 2013:
Question: What is a tide?
Answer: When we talk about tides we are referring to the rise and fall of the ocean waters along coastal regions. Tides occur due in part to the gravitational pull of the moon towards the earth. Most regions on the earth see two high tides and two low tides, however there are places in the world that will only see one high tide and one low tide per tidal day.
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Green Energy Weather Report for October 16, 2013:
Wave Energy: There will be slight to moderate amounts of wave energy from the Gulf Coast all the way up the Eastern seaboard ahead of the cold front. There will be moderate amounts of wave energy along the entire West Coast.
Hydro Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy over the Great Lakes extending into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley and towards the Gulf Coast.
Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy over the Mid-Atlantic region extending into the Southeast and portions of the Gulf Coast. There will also be ample amounts of energy over the Northern Plains and the Rockies along with most of the West Coast.
Wind Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy from the Great Lakes to Texas and portions of the Gulf Coast.
Weather and Your Wallet (Denver CO):
High pressure over the region will bring partly cloudy skies to the area.
Dining: Today will be a nice day to get out and enjoy lunch at your favorite bistro or cafe.
Transportation: There will be no weather impacts on the roads or at the airport today.
Shopping: Today will be a nice day to get out and start buying those winter items to prepare for the cold winter that will be arriving soon.
Electricity: The region will have a moderate need for heating today as the forecast is for 23HDD’s.
Yard Work: Today will be a good day to start winterizing the yard.
Construction: There will be now weather impacts to outdoor projects today.
Outdoor Venues: Today will be a great day to get out and enjoy time in the park or even head up to the ski resorts and enjoy some skiing.
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